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Illusory correlation

AP notes Psychology history , Approaches, and Research Methods

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AP Psychology Mr. Laminsky Unit 1?History, Approaches, and Research Methods Note Card List hindsight bias theory hypothesis operational definition case study survey false consensus effect random sample correlation coefficient illusory correlation placebo double-blind procedure experimental condition control condition independent variable dependent variable mode, median, and mean range, standard deviation William Wundt William James Gestalt psychology psychoanalysis behaviorism Humanist perspective Psychoanalytic perspective Biopsychology (or Neuroscience) perspective Evolutionary (or Darwinian) perspective Behavioral perspective Cognitive perspective Sociocultural perspective AP Psychology Notes Mr. Laminsky Unit 1?History, Approaches, and Research Methods

David G. Meyers Psychology 8th Edition Chapter 1 outline

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The Need for Psychological Science Hindsight bias and judgmental overconfidence show that we cannot rely on intuition and common sense. Hindsight Bias: The thought that once a person finds out the outcome, that the person knew the outcome all along and could have predicted it. Overconfidence: Thinking is limited not only because of our after-the-fact common sense but by over confidence When you are 100% sure about something, self prediction may change up to 15% of the time When someone predicts wrong, they seem to use the ? I was close? excuse Skepticism and humility must be added to help us tell the difference between life and reality The Scientific Attitude You need to be Skeptical but not cynical Need to be able to have humility and be able to reject ones owns ideas

Psychology Notes CH.1

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Psychology Textbook Notes- Ch. 1 The Need for Psychological Science: The Limits of Intuition and Common Sense Hindsight Bias-THE TENDENCY TO BELIEVE AFTER LEARNING A N OUTCOME that foreseen ?I knew it all along phenomenon). Unanticipated scientific results indeed ?seem? like obvious common sense or justify it to that! Common sense describes what has happened more easily than it predicts what will happen. Intuition can be wrong & common sense! Overconfidence: Thinking limited by ?after-the-fact? common sense hindsight bias. We could of done that DUH attitude example anagram scrambling after seeing the solution. 98% college students confident they won?t drop out ? yet half do OVERCONFIDENT! More confident than correct!
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